Analyzing Changes in China's Exports to India with Customs Database
4514726-Sep-2025
The Dramatic Shift in China-India Trade
Where did all those Chinese smartphones go? If you're tracking India imports by country, You have noticed that China's shipments to India fell sharply in the first quarter of 2024—yet certain categories saw unexpected spikes. At TradeMagellan, we've decoded these shifts using China export data, revealing both risks and lucrative gaps for traders.
What the Numbers Say (2024-2025)
Key findings from China–India import data:
• Electronics exports saw a sharp decline (but semiconductor equipment saw rapid growth)
• Machinery exports maintained a steady, slight increase despite political uncertainty
• Biggest dark horse: New energy vehicle parts saw a doubling of growth
Critical Insight: The "decoupling" narrative ignores nuanced opportunities in industrial inputs.
Mining the Customs Database for Gold
Most India trade data stops at surface-level trends. Smart exporters analyze:
• Port patterns: Mundra Port accounts for the majority of China's chemical imports.
• Seasonal gaps: Textile machinery orders surged by half in December.
• Chinese workarounds: China leverages re-export trade to cope with trade barriers.
TradeMagellan Advantage: Our platform flags these micro-trends with data before your competitors notice.
3 Strategies for Exporters Right Now
1.Substitute Where China Retreats:Indian toy makers gained market share as Chinese exports slowed
2.Partner with Parallel Importers:Vietnamese traders bridging Chinese suppliers with Indian buyers
3.Preempt Regulatory Changes:Our customs data India showed PLA import curbs months before announcement
The Blind Spots in Public Data
Government china export data misses crucial details like:
• Actual consignee names (hidden behind clearing agents)
• True product specifications ("plastic parts" could mean anything)
• Unofficial payment terms affecting pricing
Our Fix: TradeMagellan cross-references shipping manifests with corporate registries.
Your Next Move
The China-India trade overhaul is evolving. Companies using our platform have:
• Pivoted to underserved niches (e.g., solar panel inverters)
• Negotiated better terms by proving alternative supply routes
• Avoid fines through regulatory early warning
Start Today:
1.Run a free Chinese exporter reliability check
2.Compare 2024 vs 2025 HS code flows
3.Identify 3 substitute suppliers